Unemployment rate rises to 4.5 per cent, jobs fall
About 16,000 jobs fell out of Australia's economy in July, pushing the unemployment rate up to 4.5 per cent and adding to the case for no more rate hikes.
AUSTRALIA’S unemployment rate has risen to 4.5 per cent, adding weight to the argument that the Reserve Bank will halt raising interest rates.
About 16,000 jobs fell out of the economy in July, the Australian Bureau of Statistics reported on Thursday.
The result was substantially down from the 76,300 increase in June and wrong-footed forecasters, who had been tipping a rise in employment of 15,000.
Consensus expectations were for the unemployment rate to hold steady at 4.4 per cent.
“The majority of the fall in employment came from males, which fell by 11,000 people,” said Sean Crick, ABS head of labour statistics.
“There were 10,000 fewer males employed part-time, and 1,000 fewer in full-time employment in July.
“Female employment recorded a smaller fall of 5,000, with females employed part-time falling by 22,000 but full-time rising by 17,000.”
The participation rate edged down 0.2 percentage points to 66.9 per cent
While Australia’s relatively low unemployment rate is a bright spot in an economy hampered by the Middle East oil shock and persistently low productivity growth, the Reserve Bank has been looking for the labour market to soften for inflation to get back under control.
Inflation is still too high and, while the economy is softening, more of a slowdown is needed to get inflation back to target, the bank’s deputy governor Andrew Hauser said on Wednesday.
The RBA has forecast the jobless rate to rise to 4.5 per cent by the end of the year.
“We’re not seeing in our forecasts a reduction in the number of jobs in the economy, but it’s a lot slower than Australia has known in the past and it’s a lot slower than recently,” Mr Hauser said.
