Adrian Black

Jul 22, 2025

Were the RBA dissenters right to argue for a July cut?

Meeting minutes have shed new light on the Reserve Bank's decision to hold rates steady in July, with Australia's low unemployment rate a concern for the board.

By JACOB SHTEYMAN and ADRIAN BLACK

May 5, 2025

Weary retail recovery has rate cut almost in the bag

All the smoke signals point to an interest rate cut as Australian retail spending continues to grow amid cooling consumer and producer inflation.

By ADRIAN BLACK and WILLIAM TON

May 2, 2025

First rate cut in four years had little impact on spending

Australian retail spending continues to grow amid cooling consumer and producer inflation, with all the smoke signals pointing to an interest rate cut in May.

By ADRIAN BLACK and WILLIAM TON

Apr 30, 2025

Inflation data suggests May rate cut is likely – but not a done deal

Quarterly inflation figures have come in slightly higher than expected, but could still make room for an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank.

By ADRIAN BLACK and LEWIS PANTHER