THE PRACTITIONER'S COMPANION
Thursday 10 October 2024

RBA continues pushback against rate cut calls

High inflation "hurts everyone" but especially those on low and fixed incomes, RBA governor Michele Bullock stressed following a sluggish economic growth report.

2 min read
Michele Bullock and RBA leaving all options on table. Photo: Bianca De Marchi

MICHELE Bullock says it’s still premature to be thinking about interest rate cuts as she rammed home the dangers of high inflation.

High inflation “hurts everyone” but especially those on low and fixed incomes, the head of the Reserve Bank of Australia stressed following a sluggish economic growth report.

Rising prices eat into savings and erode purchasing power, Governor Michele Bullock has warned, and should inflation stay higher for longer more borrowers will end up in mortgage stress and some even forced to sell up.

“A really important point to note here, is that lower income borrowers are over-represented in the group of people who are really struggling,” she told the Anika Foundation on Thursday.

Her remarks followed a tepid 0.2 per cent expansion in the economy in the June quarter and one per cent through-the-year increase.

The RBA was expecting a subdued reading, with a slower economy an expected consequence of higher interest rates, jacked up and kept elevated to weaken demand and bring down inflation.

Yet a weaker economy means a deteriorating labour market and higher unemployment, which the central bank has been trying to mitigate by tolerating a longer path to within-target inflation than many of its peers.

In her speech, Ms Bullock said the board was looking to strike “an appropriate balance” between the RBA’s inflation and full employment objectives.

“Given the starting point of high inflation and a relatively tight labour market, and that low and stable inflation ultimately supports our full employment objective, our highest priority has been and remains to bring inflation down,” she said.

Posturing on future interest rate moves has not changed since the August board meeting.

The board was still of the view it was “premature to be thinking about interest rate cuts”, provided the economy evolves as it expects.

“Circumstances may change, of course … but if the economy evolves broadly as anticipated, the board does not expect that it will be in a position to cut rates in the near term,” she said.

Much of the speech was dedicated to the importance of bringing inflation down.

Those under 40 were experiencing high inflation for the first time and many Australians had “forgotten how bad it is”.

“There is a reason why there is so much talk about the cost of living – high inflation hurts everyone, and especially the most vulnerable.”

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